Apparently the regime in Iran is bitterly divided over whether to pursue diplomacy or fight a war, hardliners in military and IRGC are threatening the government.
The last time when regime changed it took literally eight months of violence.
I would wait until the end of the year to predict whether iran will fall or not.
>>52224
Ofcourse and similar to pakistani military the irgc has bonyads a charitable company which is staffed with nepotism running the economy that's why they can threaten the goverment.
>>52234
yaar US already took out Khamenei without any ground invasion, and now the political leadership is getting threatened by their own military hardliners, their government has already fallen, nobody knows whether the new ayatollah is even alive or not
>>52241
one khamenei out, another khamenei in.
political leadership is different from the new khamenei. the IRGC and the hardliners are loyal to khamenei jr.
the ayatollah himself is above the political disposition in iran.
the government in iran hasn't fallen yet and the iranian state still survives.
the real problem for iran right now is iran's new kill-list that has given a lot of nations, not just the retarded americans, a reason to pray on the fall on iran.
they've basically declared themselves to be at war with the west at-large but without some type of boots-on-the-ground action, the iranian state will continue to survive.
>>52261
they don't have to win. they just have to survive.
>>52265
>another khamenei in.
nobody knows if he is even alive, didn't even show up during his baap's funeral.
And no, the hardliners have gone rogue, they are not listening to the government, the ayatollah heads the government.
>>52268
Aayeah, go search it, it is fact that if US decides today to just glass the whole country, it can easily do so.
diplomacy is the only choice for Iran, they cannot fight a war, and their government was literally done with agreement however the rogue IRGC started bombing merchant ships in the strait of hormuz again
>>52267
he's probably just hiding in a bunker, somewhere.
ayatollah heads the state, not the government. he's also the religious clerical head of all shiite muslims. the hardliners pray to him day-in and day-out, and only he commands their true loyalty.
>>52268
you really believe a word that comes out of that kid-diddler's mouth? if he didn't know any better, he would've already been 4x assassinated.
Israel literally wants the hormuz strait to stay closed, because it will actually give a justified reason for Iraq style invasion of Iran by a US led coalition.
The thing is no longer about Iran, nukes or Israel, but about global trade.
>US bombs Iran>Iran starts bombing other middle eastern countries
yaar this won't last long, until these countries decide to support a Iraq style invasion of Iran by a US led coalition
SA has a military too, they have been bombing Yemen for years.
>>52276
yeah i call BS. besides, what's stopping them from just propping up another khamenei to take his stead, like.
in militant outfits that enjoy grassroots support, the probability of regime change by decapitation is <10%. that's what those retarded americans don't get. war hawks in DC tell the suits and the prez what best works for their jobs and pockets. this is the real travesty.
although, i will agree with you one thing ... iran's really shooting itself in the foot by blocking the strait right now. it's giving the mystery meat fatsos a very good reason to invade iran on-the-ground right now. this is probably what we'll see happening if those mutts don't go full retard and unironically drop a nuke on iran.
